Congress trailing in Old Mysuru region

Bengaluru: With barely five days left for the Karnataka Assembly polls, a pre-poll survey — Lokniti-CSDS-ABP news poll, indicates that the Congress is inching ahead and increasing the gap with its principal rival, the BJP.

The ruling party seems to have an edge in all regions of the state — Hyderabad-Karnataka and Coastal Karnataka and Mumbai-Karnataka except the Old Mysuru region in south Karnataka where it is trailing behind the JD(S), led by former PM H.D. Deve Gowda.  

Interestingly, in the earlier Jain University-Lokniti-CSDS poll, the BJP was reported to be in the lead in Coastal Karnataka and Mumbai Karnataka while the current poll shows that the Congress has wrested the initiative in both regions.

A factor that is likely to help the Congress is the clear split in the anti-Congress vote between the BJP and the JD(S). The Kuruba vote (of Siddaramaiah’s community) is with the ruling party as is the minority, Dalit and tribal vote, says the survey. While the JDS is the preferred choice for a significant chunk of Vokkaliga voters, the Congress has made some inroads into this dominant caste too.

The move of the Congress to secure minority religion status for the Lingayat community does not seem to have impacted voters of this dominant caste who still prefer the BJP. The survey also indicates that in the state assembly poll voters give priority to state issues. 

When it comes to the most preferred choice for CM, the Congress again seems to have an edge with the most preferred choice being incumbent, Siddaramaiah, who enjoys a six percentage point lead over the BJP’s CM nominee, B.S. Yeddyurappa. The JD(S) nominee, H.D. Kumaraswamy is third with five percentage points.

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